26 Jun · 15:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MK
🇺🇦Martin Kocvara
ELO 1517
FormWLWWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Provaznik
LP
🇺🇦Lukas Provaznik
ELO 1566
FormLLWWL
45%
55%
🌟Kocvara covers set handicap as underdog 65% (20)
Fair odds · Provaznik
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
20%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+49
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+49)