26 Jun · 12:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
FS
🇺🇦Frantisek Schmidtmayer
ELO 1448
FormWLLLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Dvoracek
AD
🇺🇦Adam Dvoracek
ELO 1504
FormWWLWW
44%
56%
Fair odds · Dvoracek
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
20%
3-2
17%
3-1
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+56
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+56)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)