26 Jun · 13:35 MESZLow · Coin Flip
DS
🇺🇦Dmytro Shchegelskyi
ELO 1530
FormWWLLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Shchegelskyi
OH
🇺🇦Oleksandr Hordiichuk
ELO 1528
FormLLWLL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Shchegelskyi
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 31%Total ~79 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
19%
1-3
19%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+2
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.