26 Jun · 12:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MH
🇺🇦Martin Holub
ELO 1477
FormWWWLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Krejcik
JK
🇺🇦Julius Krejcik
ELO 1516
FormWWWLL
46%
54%
Fair odds · Krejcik
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
20%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+39
H2H1-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.