27 Jun · 17:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MV
🇺🇦Milan Vydra
ELO 1465
FormWLWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Vydra
JJ
🇺🇦Jakub Dufek Jnr
ELO 1447
FormWLLLL
52%
48%
🌟Jnr stays under total as underdog 67% (12)
Fair odds · Vydra
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+18
H2H4-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.