28 Jun · 00:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
ML
🇺🇦Myroslav Loboda
ELO 1566
FormLLWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Loboda
DS
🇺🇦Dmytro Shchegelskyi
ELO 1524
FormWWLLL
54%
46%
🌟Shchegelskyi covers set handicap as underdog 68% (19)
Fair odds · Loboda
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
20%
2-3
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
14%
Elo Gap+42
H2H13-13
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.