27 Jun · 10:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OK
🇺🇦Oleksandr Kolos
ELO 1384
FormWWWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Kolos
DA
🇺🇦Denis Aldayev
ELO 1365
FormLWLLL
52%
48%
Fair odds · Kolos
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+19
H2H17-12
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.