27 Jun · 09:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VP
🇺🇦Volodymyr Plishylo
ELO 1513
FormLLLWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Rak
SR
🇺🇦Serhii Rak
ELO 1574
FormLWWWL
44%
56%
🔥 Underdog lean · Plishylo🌟Rak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 24% (29)
Fair odds · Rak
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
20%
3-2
17%
3-1
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+61
H2H43-17
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+61)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (43-17)