27 Jun · 07:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VK
🇺🇦Volodymyr Khyzhnyak
ELO 1259
FormLWLWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Khyzhnyak
AD
🇺🇦Anton Danylov
ELO 1226
FormLLLWL
53%
47%
Fair odds · Khyzhnyak
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
14%
Elo Gap+33
H2H1-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.