27 Jun · 08:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JB
🇺🇦Jan Botka
ELO 1500
FormWWLWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Hendrych
LH
🇺🇦Ladislav Hendrych
ELO 1572
FormWLLLW
42%
58%
Fair odds · Hendrych
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
20%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
3-1
16%
Elo Gap+72
H2H4-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+72)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-1)