27 Jun · 08:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
YP
🇺🇦Yurii Priadko
ELO 1364
FormWWWLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Aldayev
DA
🇺🇦Denis Aldayev
ELO 1365
FormLWLLL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Aldayev
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 42% · 2.36· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 31%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
19%
3-1
19%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+1
H2H13-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.