27 Jun · 07:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SP
🇺🇦Serhii Prus
ELO 1546
FormWWWLW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Prus
MS
🇺🇦Mykola Slozka
ELO 1460
FormWLLLL
59%
41%
🌟Prus stays under total as favourite 75% (12)
Fair odds · Prus
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
20%
2-3
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
15%
Elo Gap+86
H2H3-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+86)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)