27 Jun · 11:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VH
🇺🇦Vit Herrmann
ELO 1485
FormWWWLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Herrmann
FK
🇺🇦Filip Kubos
ELO 1459
FormLWLWW
53%
47%
🌟Kubos goes over total as underdog 62% (29)
Fair odds · Herrmann
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 42% · 2.37· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
14%
Elo Gap+26
H2H1-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.