27 Jun · 07:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AF
🇺🇦Andrii Fastov
ELO 1440
FormWWLWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Fastov
YP
🇺🇦Yurii Priadko
ELO 1364
FormWWWLL
58%
42%
Fair odds · Fastov
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
20%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
1-3
16%
Elo Gap+76
H2H11-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+76)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-2)