27 Jun · 07:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AT
🇺🇦Alexander Tkachenko
ELO 1540
FormWLWWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Tkachenko
NP
🇺🇦Nazar Petukh
ELO 1492
FormLWLLL
55%
45%
🌟Petukh covers set handicap as underdog 63% (41)
Fair odds · Tkachenko
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
20%
2-3
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+48
H2H9-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+48)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)