27 Jun · 11:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VS
🇺🇦Vladyslav Stukalov
ELO 1411
FormLLLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Kucheriavyi
VK
🇺🇦Vadym Kucheriavyi
ELO 1416
FormWLLWW
49%
51%
🌟Stukalov covers set handicap as underdog 65% (31)
Fair odds · Kucheriavyi
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~79 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
19%
3-1
19%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+5
H2H3-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.