27 Jun · 09:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
SP
🇺🇦Serhii Prus
ELO 1546
FormWWWLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Maltsev
DM
🇺🇦Denys Maltsev
ELO 1571
FormLLWWL
47%
53%
🌟Prus covers set handicap as underdog 92% (12)
Fair odds · Maltsev
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 72% · 1.38· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+25
H2H34-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.