27 Jun · 12:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PM
🇺🇦Petr Maly
ELO 1550
FormWWWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Maly
JK
🇺🇦Jan Krojidlo
ELO 1508
FormWLWLL
54%
46%
Fair odds · Maly
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
20%
2-3
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
14%
Elo Gap+42
H2H5-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.