27 Jun · 07:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
YK
🇺🇦Yaroslav Kravets
ELO 1524
FormLLLLW
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Pesternikov
DP
🇺🇦Denys Pesternikov
ELO 1676
FormWWWLW
34%
66%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kravets🌟Kravets covers set handicap as underdog 68% (25)
Fair odds · Pesternikov
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~74 pts
1-3
25%
2-3
21%
0-3
20%
3-2
15%
3-1
13%
Elo Gap+152
H2H17-26
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+152)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)