27 Jun · 12:50 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
OZ
🇺🇦Oleksandr Zhurba
ELO 1751
FormWLWWW
70%Win chancemodel fair 1.43Zhurba
OB
🇺🇦Oleksandr Bondarchuk
ELO 1551
FormWWWWL
70%
30%
🌟Zhurba stays under total as favourite 67% (42)
Fair odds · Zhurba
Model 70% · 1.43vsMarket 78% · 1.28· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~71 pts
3-1
27%
3-0
23%
3-2
21%
2-3
13%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+200
H2H7-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+200)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-1)