27 Jun · 07:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
AL
🇺🇦Anatoliy Lysyi
ELO 1372
FormLWWWW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Bakin
EB
🇺🇦Evgenii Bakin
ELO 1466
FormWWLWW
40%
60%
Fair odds · Bakin
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 75% · 1.33· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
1-3
23%
2-3
20%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+94
H2H4-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+94)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-1)