27 Jun · 07:05 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VM
🇺🇦Vitalii Mukhin
ELO 1429
FormLWWLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Mukhin
SB
🇺🇦Serhii Baranskyi
ELO 1425
FormLWLLL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Mukhin
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
19%
1-3
19%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+4
H2H4-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.