27 Jun · 07:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
SS
🇺🇦Serhii Semenets
ELO 1387
FormWLLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Tkalich
MT
🇺🇦Maksym Tkalich
ELO 1411
FormLWLLL
48%
52%
Fair odds · Tkalich
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+24
H2H3-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.