27 Jun · 10:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
SP
🇺🇦Serhii Prus
ELO 1546
FormWWWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Fashchevskyi
IF
🇺🇦Ivan Fashchevskyi
ELO 1561
FormWLWWL
48%
52%
🔥 Underdog lean · Prus🌟Prus covers set handicap as underdog 92% (12)
Fair odds · Fashchevskyi
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~79 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+15
H2H15-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.