27 Jun · 12:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
SP
🇺🇦Serhii Prus
ELO 1546
FormWWWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Prus
MP
🇺🇦Mykhailo Potapov
ELO 1526
FormWLLLW
52%
48%
🌟Prus stays under total as favourite 75% (12)
Fair odds · Prus
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~71 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+20
H2H1-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.