27 Jun · 08:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MT
🇺🇦Mikhail Taranko
ELO 1462
FormWLLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Kanka
TK
🇺🇦Tomas Kanka
ELO 1498
FormWWLLL
46%
54%
Fair odds · Kanka
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+36
H2H8-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.