27 Jun · 10:05 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VM
🇺🇦Vitalii Mukhin
ELO 1429
FormLWWLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Burak
IB
🇺🇦Ihor Burak
ELO 1434
FormLLLLW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Burak
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
19%
3-1
19%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+5
H2H1-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.