27 Jun · 06:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MB
🇺🇦Maksym Bukata
ELO 1168
FormWLLLL
70%Win chancemodel fair 1.43Aldayev
DA
🇺🇦Denis Aldayev
ELO 1365
FormLWLLL
30%
70%
Fair odds · Aldayev
Model 70% · 1.43vsMarket 75% · 1.33· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~74 pts
1-3
27%
0-3
23%
2-3
21%
3-2
13%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+197
H2H10-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+197)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-4)