27 Jun · 13:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OZ
🇺🇦Oleksandr Zhyrnov
ELO 1526
FormLWWWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Zhyrnov
YH
🇺🇦Yevhenii Holoborodko
ELO 1475
FormWWLLW
55%
45%
🌟Holoborodko stays under total as underdog 63% (19)
Fair odds · Zhyrnov
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 60% · 1.66· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
20%
2-3
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+51
H2H20-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+51)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (20-10)