27 Jun · 06:25 MESZLow · Coin Flip
SP
🇺🇦Serhii Prus
ELO 1546
FormWWWLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Hrybeniuk
VH
🇺🇦Volodymyr Hrybeniuk
ELO 1550
FormLWWWL
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Hrybeniuk🌟Prus covers set handicap as underdog 92% (12)
Fair odds · Hrybeniuk
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~72 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
19%
3-1
19%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+4
H2H4-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.