27 Jun · 09:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OK
🇺🇦Oleksandr Kolos
ELO 1384
FormWWWWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Fastov
AF
🇺🇦Andrii Fastov
ELO 1440
FormWWLWL
44%
56%
Fair odds · Fastov
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
20%
3-2
17%
3-1
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+56
H2H7-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+56)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-4)