27 Jun · 10:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OB
🇺🇦Oleh Bindas
ELO 1749
FormWWWLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Bindas
DP
🇺🇦Denys Pesternikov
ELO 1676
FormWWWLW
58%
42%
🌟Pesternikov covers set handicap as underdog 78% (27)
Fair odds · Bindas
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
20%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
1-3
16%
Elo Gap+73
H2H91-52
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+73)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (91-52)