27 Jun · 08:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JP
🇺🇦Jan Pina
ELO 1520
FormWWLWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Hendrych
LH
🇺🇦Ladislav Hendrych
ELO 1572
FormWLLLW
45%
55%
Fair odds · Hendrych
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
20%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+52
H2H3-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+52)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-0)