27 Jun · 13:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OM
🇺🇦Ondrej Mezera
ELO 1555
FormWLLLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Mezera
MK
🇺🇦Martin Kocvara
ELO 1524
FormLWLWW
53%
47%
🌟Kocvara covers set handicap as underdog 65% (20)
Fair odds · Mezera
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
14%
Elo Gap+31
H2H1-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.