27 Jun · 10:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
DN
🇺🇦Dmytro Novik
ELO 1383
FormLLLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Novik
AL
🇺🇦Anatoliy Lysyi
ELO 1372
FormLWWWW
51%
49%
Fair odds · Novik
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 73% · 1.38· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
19%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+11
H2H21-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.