27 Jun · 08:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
VP
🇺🇦Volodymyr Plishylo
ELO 1513
FormLLLWW
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Pesternikov
DP
🇺🇦Denys Pesternikov
ELO 1676
FormWWWLW
33%
67%
🔥 Underdog lean · Plishylo🌟Plishylo covers set handicap as underdog 71% (31)
Fair odds · Pesternikov
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~72 pts
1-3
25%
2-3
21%
0-3
21%
3-2
14%
3-1
12%
Elo Gap+163
H2H47-27
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+163)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (47-27)