27 Jun · 12:55 MESZLow · Coin Flip
IF
🇺🇦Ivan Fashchevskyi
ELO 1561
FormWLWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Fashchevskyi
VH
🇺🇦Volodymyr Hrybeniuk
ELO 1550
FormLWWWL
51%
49%
🌟Fashchevskyi rarely covers set handicap as favourite 20% (15)
Fair odds · Fashchevskyi
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 44% · 2.27· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~74 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
19%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+11
H2H7-13
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.