27 Jun · 09:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OB
🇺🇦Oleksandr Bondarchuk
ELO 1555
FormWWWWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Bondarchuk
NP
🇺🇦Nazar Petukh
ELO 1492
FormLWLLL
57%
43%
🔥 Underdog lean · Petukh🌟Bondarchuk goes over total as favourite 73% (15)
Fair odds · Bondarchuk
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~74 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
20%
2-3
17%
1-3
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+63
H2H9-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+63)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)