27 Jun · 13:50 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AT
🇺🇦Alexander Tkachenko
ELO 1540
FormWLWWL
71%Win chancemodel fair 1.41Zhurba
OZ
🇺🇦Oleksandr Zhurba
ELO 1751
FormWLWWW
29%
71%
🌟Zhurba stays under total as favourite 67% (42)
Fair odds · Zhurba
Model 71% · 1.41vsMarket 78% · 1.28· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~74 pts
1-3
27%
0-3
23%
2-3
21%
3-2
13%
3-1
10%
Elo Gap+211
H2H10-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+211)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-4)