27 Jun · 10:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
YK
🇺🇦Yaroslav Kravets
ELO 1524
FormLLLLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Romaniak
IR
🇺🇦Ivan Romaniak
ELO 1573
FormWLWWL
45%
55%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kravets🌟Romaniak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 29% (14)
Fair odds · Romaniak
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
20%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+49
H2H8-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+49)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-2)