27 Jun · 08:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DN
🇺🇦Dmytro Novik
ELO 1383
FormLLLLW
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Novik
AD
🇺🇦Anton Danylov
ELO 1226
FormLLLWL
66%
34%
Fair odds · Novik
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 79% · 1.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~76 pts
3-1
25%
3-2
21%
3-0
20%
2-3
15%
1-3
12%
Elo Gap+157
H2H4-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+157)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-1)