27 Jun · 11:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
YK
🇺🇦Yaroslav Kravets
ELO 1524
FormLLLLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Rak
SR
🇺🇦Serhii Rak
ELO 1574
FormLWWWL
45%
55%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kravets🌟Rak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 24% (29)
Fair odds · Rak
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
20%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+50
H2H26-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+50)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (26-7)