27 Jun · 08:05 MESZLow · Coin Flip
SK
🇺🇦Serhii Kovalenko
ELO 1438
FormLWLLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Kovalenko
IB
🇺🇦Ihor Burak
ELO 1434
FormLLLLW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Kovalenko
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 42% · 2.36· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
19%
1-3
19%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+4
H2H1-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.