27 Jun · 08:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VM
🇺🇦Vitalii Mukhin
ELO 1429
FormLWWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Mukhin
MT
🇺🇦Maksym Tkalich
ELO 1411
FormLWLLL
52%
48%
Fair odds · Mukhin
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+18
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.