27 Jun · 11:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OS
🇺🇦Oleh Stopin
ELO 1483
FormWLWWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Stetsenko
MS
🇺🇦Maksym Stetsenko
ELO 1539
FormWWLLL
44%
56%
Fair odds · Stetsenko
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 75% · 1.34· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
20%
3-2
17%
3-1
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+56
H2H8-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+56)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-2)