27 Jun · 14:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OB
🇺🇦Oleksandr Bondarchuk
ELO 1555
FormWWWWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Bondarchuk
DN
🇺🇦Dmytro Neborak
ELO 1489
FormLLLWW
57%
43%
🌟Bondarchuk goes over total as favourite 73% (15)
Fair odds · Bondarchuk
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~74 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
20%
2-3
17%
1-3
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+66
H2H54-30
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+66)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (54-30)