27 Jun · 16:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RR
🇺🇦Roman Reznychenko
ELO 1367
FormLWLWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Pismenniy
EP
🇺🇦Evgeniy Pismenniy
ELO 1431
FormWLLLW
43%
57%
🌟Reznychenko goes over total as underdog 68% (22)
Fair odds · Pismenniy
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
20%
3-2
17%
3-1
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+64
H2H75-73
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+64)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (75-73)