27 Jun · 15:45 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OC
🇺🇦Ondrej Chadima
ELO 1501
FormWWWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Krasl
LK
🇺🇦Libor Krasl
ELO 1514
FormLLLLL
49%
51%
🌟Chadima rarely covers set handicap as underdog 21% (14)
Fair odds · Krasl
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+13
H2H1-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.