27 Jun · 14:40 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OV
🇺🇦Oleg Varlamov
ELO 1474
FormLLLLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Sopivnyk
RS
🇺🇦Ruslan Sopivnyk
ELO 1478
FormWLWWW
50%
50%
🌟Varlamov covers set handicap as underdog 76% (17)
Fair odds · Sopivnyk
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~78 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
19%
3-1
19%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+4
H2H8-11
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.