27 Jun · 08:35 MESZLow · Coin Flip
SR
🇺🇦Serhii Rak
ELO 1574
FormLWWWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Rak
IR
🇺🇦Ivan Romaniak
ELO 1573
FormWLWWL
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Romaniak🌟Romaniak covers set handicap as underdog 81% (36)
Fair odds · Rak
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 31%Total ~78 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
19%
1-3
19%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+1
H2H35-17
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.